AI

Model releases, capabilities, race dynamics. 3 markets tracked with live AI Oracle forecasts.

ai·resolves in 8mo
+3.4pp

Will OpenAI release GPT-6 before December 31, 2026?

Market52%
AI Oracle55%
$7.5M 24h vol
ai·resolves in 7mo
-0.9pp

Will any frontier AI score in the top 10% of the bar exam in 2026?

Market62%
AI Oracle64%
$8.3M 24h vol
ai·resolves in 8mo
-0.2pp

Will OpenAI file for an IPO before EOY 2026?

Market32%
AI Oracle34%
$9.1M 24h vol